An Oscar win forWickedstar Ariana Grande-Butera could be historic. Although she is best known as a pop star (using the name “Ariana Grande”), she began her career as an actor in projects like Nickelodeon’sVictoriousandSam & Kat. With 2024’sWicked, she made her triumphant return to acting three years after an appearance in Netflix’sDon’t Look Up. In the Broadway musical adaptation, she plays the popular and seemingly shallow Glinda, who forms an unlikely friendship with Elphaba (Cynthia Erivo), the future Wicked Witch of the West fromThe Wizard of Oz.
Ariana Grande-Butera is a front-runner for a Best Supporting Actress Oscar nodat the2025 Oscar nominations, having been nominated in that category at many other major awards shows, including the BAFTA Awards, the Critics Choice Awards, the Golden Globes, and the Screen Actors Guild Awards. So far, only the Golden Globe has been presented, with Zoe Saldaña winning forEmilia Pérezover Grande-Butera. However, there is still a strong chance that Grande-Butera could take home the Oscar, which would break a half-century-old record.
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Ariana Grande Has One Of The Longest Screentimes Ever For A Best Supporting Actress Nominee
She Is In Nearly Half Of The Movie
Although Ariana Grande-Butera’s role in theWickedcastcan still be considered a supporting performance given Glinda’s place in the narrative and her relationship to the central character Elphaba,she is in the movie for an overwhelming majority of the two hour and 40 minute runtime. Overall, according to stats fromMatthew Stewarton X, she appears in a total of 1 hour, 11 minutes, and 25 seconds of the movie, representing 44.59% of the total run time and giving her one of the longest screentimes ever for a Best Supporting Actress nominee.
1:25:44 (53.53%)
1:11:25 (44.59%)
18:29 (11.54%)
16:52 (10.53%)
13:53 (8.67%)
11:47 (7.36%)
11:25 (7.13%)
11:13 (7.00%)
11:12 (6.99%)
4:42 (2.93%)
Dr. Dillamond (Peter Dinklage)
3:51 (2.40%)
Should Grande-Butera earn the nomination, she would havethe second-longest screentime ever for a Best Supporting Actress contender at the Oscars, only falling behind Jennifer Jones in 1944’sSince You Went Away, a movie with a 2 hour and 57 minute run time in which Jones appears in roughly 1 hour, 15 minutes, and 38 seconds. While Grande-Butera’s competitor Zoe Saldaña is another potential nominee with substantial screentime, and in fact has the longest screentime of any actor inEmilia Pérez, she does not threaten this record, as she only appears in 57 minutes and 50 seconds.
Ariana Grande Will Have The Most Screentime For Any Best Supporting Actress Oscar Winner
The Record Has Been In Place For More Than 50 Years
Should Ariana Grande-Butera win for her performance in theWickedmovie, she will clear an even bigger record as the Best Supporting Actress winner with the longest screentime in history.She would edge out Tatum O’Neal in 1973’sPaper Moon, who is currently No. 1 with a screentime of 1 hour, 6 minutes, and 38 seconds. Grande-Butera would edge her out by five minutes then and break the record that has stood for 51 years.
However, O’Neal would still hold the record of appearing in the greatest percentage of her movie’s run time, as that screentime represents 65.49% ofPaper Moon’s 1 hour and 45 minutes. Grande-Butera is substantially behind the current record holder in that department, as she was present for 44.59% ofWicked’s 2 hour and 40 minutes. That leaves the Glinda actress outside the top 10 all-time in terms of screentime percentage among Best Supporting Actress Oscar winners - if she does win.
Ariana Grande’s Odds Of Winning Best Supporting Actress At The Oscars 2025
The Wicked Star Is One Of The Favorites
Ahead of the actual Oscar nominations being announced on August 20, 2025, Ariana Grande-Butera is positioned as one of the favorites in Best Supporting Actress. She is viewed as a lock for a nomination, putting her in a great spot to win possibly. She has nominations from BAFTA Awards, Critics' Choice Movie Awards, and SAG Awards. While those winners have yet to be selected, she’s lost the Golden Globes already. That leaves her without any major precursor wins, even if she’s gained some wins from various critics groups.
The betting odds for the 2025 Oscars reflect Ariana Grande-Butera’s standing in the Best Supporting Actress race. OnDraftKings, Grande has the second-best odds to win at +400. That’s a good spot, but still well behind Saldaña’s odds at -700 to win. She’s also viewed as the second strongest contender by awards season pundits onVariety,THR,Gold Derby,EW, andNext Best Picture. Screen Rant’s 2025 Oscars predictions also puts her in second. However,Colliderpredicts a Grande-Butera win in Best Supporting Actress.
Ariana Grande Appears Unlikely To Break The Best Supporting Actress Screen Time Oscars Record
She’s Not Projected To Win The Oscar Right Now
Based on where the 2025 Oscars race currently stands, it does not appear that Ariana Grande-Butera will actually break the record for the most screentime of a Best Supporting Actress winner. Saldaña has built a strong case to win the award this year. Her Golden Globes win is expected to propel her towards her first Academy Award win in March. This would come at Grande-Butera’s expense. And even though the Academy does not officially reveal the final standings of voting, theWickedstar would likely finish in second place.
There is still plenty of time for Grande-Butera andWickedto change the narrative and vault her into the frontrunner status. Wins at BAFTA, SAG, or Critics' Choice would do wonders for her standing in the Oscars race. This will require mounting a campaign that sways voters away from Saldaña, which could be challenging. But it is not impossible. Any potential stumble byEmilia Pérezcould beWicked’s gain in many areas, including Ariana Grande-Butera’s chance to win Best Supporting Actress and break an Oscars record.
Source(s):Matthew Stewart/X
Wicked
Wicked adapts the Broadway musical into a two-part film, following the unlikely friendship between Elphaba, born with green skin, and Glinda, a popular aristocrat, in the Land of Oz. As they navigate their contrasting paths, they evolve into Glinda the Good and the Wicked Witch of the West.
